Metric UI: Macro acceleration 5min vol / 60min vol Common floor: ≥ 110%

Macro Acceleration (5m / 60m)

How much the last 5 minutes diverge from the hourly baseline. Flags breakouts that haven't yet registered at the hour level.

Definition

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Measures how much the current 5-minute activity level diverges from the broader 60-minute regime.

Formula & calculation

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First compute rolling intensity ratios:
Rolling Intensity Ratio(w) = ((Current Window Volume + Live Volume) / (Historical Mean Volume per Minute × Window Minutes)) × 100
Then compute acceleration:
(5m Rolling Intensity Ratio / 60m Rolling Intensity Ratio) × 100

Units & range

%. 100% means 5m intensity matches the 60m regime. Values above 150% indicate the last 5 minutes are running at well above the hourly average pace.

Interpretation

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When this spikes against a quiet 60m baseline, you're seeing a genuine short-term outlier. The hourly regime is calm and something just happened. When both the 5m and 60m are elevated, this number compresses toward 100%: not a burst, just a hot session. The reading is most meaningful when the denominator (60m) is near its historical baseline.

Practical usage

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Macro-acceleration against a quiet hourly baseline is a genuine early entry signal: the current 5 minutes are exceptional relative to what the past hour suggested was normal. Add volume z-score and a directional filter before triggering an alert. Without those, you're reacting to speed, not conviction.

Common mistakes

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Frequent interpretation traps and misuse patterns to avoid when applying this metric.

  • Assuming high values guarantee continuation. It measures the current divergence, not what happens next.
  • Ignoring whether the hourly baseline is itself distorted by an earlier event: if the 60m is already elevated, the denominator is inflated and this ratio compresses artificially.