Metric UI: Micro acceleration 5min vol / 15min vol Common floor: ≥ 150%

Micro Acceleration (5m / 15m)

How much hotter the last 5 minutes are compared to the 15-minute regime. Catches bursts before the slower window absorbs them.

Definition

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Measures how much the current 5-minute volume intensity diverges from the 15-minute intensity baseline. Detects fast short-horizon expansion in activity before the slower window has time to absorb it.

Formula & calculation

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First compute rolling intensity ratios:
Rolling Intensity Ratio(w) = ((Current Window Volume + Live Volume) / (Historical Mean Volume per Minute × Window Minutes)) × 100
Then compute acceleration:
(5m Rolling Intensity Ratio / 15m Rolling Intensity Ratio) × 100

Units & range

%. 100% means 5m intensity matches 15m intensity. Values above 150% are a reliable early-alert threshold.

Interpretation

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Values above 100% mean the last 5 minutes are running hotter than the 15-minute baseline. The 5m window picks up the burst before the 15m has had time to absorb and average it away, so a high reading here is an early signal, not a confirmed one. If this spikes and the 15m is already elevated, you're seeing persistence. That's the stronger setup.

Practical usage

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Early alert, not a standalone signal. Add a notional floor: micro-acceleration on negligible volume is noise. When it fires alongside an already-elevated 15m, the burst has persistence behind it. That's the setup worth acting on.

Common mistakes

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Frequent interpretation traps and misuse patterns to avoid when applying this metric.

  • Using it without a minimum liquidity or notional filter.
  • Treating it as a directional signal when it measures speed of activity, not which side is driving it.