Metric UI: Trend set acceleration 15min vol / 60min vol Common floor: ≥ 110%

Trend-Set Acceleration (15m / 60m)

Whether elevated activity is lasting. Measures the 15-minute window against the hourly baseline to confirm a trend is setting, not just spiking.

Definition

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Measures whether elevated activity is persisting strongly enough in the 15-minute window to stand out against the broader 60-minute regime.

Formula & calculation

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First compute rolling intensity ratios:
Rolling Intensity Ratio(w) = ((Current Window Volume + Live Volume) / (Historical Mean Volume per Minute × Window Minutes)) × 100
Then compute acceleration:
(15m Rolling Intensity Ratio / 60m Rolling Intensity Ratio) × 100

Units & range

%. 100% means 15m intensity matches the 60m regime.

Interpretation

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A high reading here means the elevated activity has persisted long enough to show up in the 15-minute window: it's not just a single-minute spike. Use this alongside micro-acceleration: if micro is very high and trend-set is near 100%, you're seeing a fresh burst in an otherwise quiet session. If both are elevated, the activity has been building for at least 15 minutes. That's a regime shift, not noise.

Practical usage

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The confirmation layer for micro and macro acceleration. When all three are above threshold simultaneously, the market is active across every horizon from 5m to 60m: that's a regime, not a spike. Single-metric acceleration fires constantly; all three firing together is a high-quality setup.

Common mistakes

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Frequent interpretation traps and misuse patterns to avoid when applying this metric.

  • Expecting it to react as quickly as micro acceleration. It's a slower, smoother signal by design.
  • Using it without checking price movement in the same window. Activity can persist without directionality.